🇱🇻🇱🇹🇪🇪 Baltic Grocery Index — weekly snapshot (online retail)
Prices observed: week ending 26 December 2025
Baseline (non-promotional) prices
📌 Prices are based on online grocery listings from Rimi and Maxima/Barbora platforms across the Baltic states.
🇱🇻 Latvia
Milk 1L — 0.75
Bread 300g — 0.39
Eggs (10) — 1.99
Chicken fillet 1kg — 6.49
Potatoes 1kg — 0.59
Carrots 1kg — 0.65
Sunflower oil 1L — 1.99
Rice 800g — 1.19
Sugar 1kg — 0.75
⚠️ Pork: boneless pork shoulder not available online during the observation period. Promotional pork neck offers excluded.
🇱🇹 Lithuania
Milk 1L — 0.62–0.65
Bread 300g — 0.34
Eggs (10) — 2.15
Chicken fillet 1kg — 7.49–8.49
Potatoes 1kg — 0.49–0.50
Carrots 1kg — 0.58–0.65
Sunflower oil 1L — 1.54
Rice 800g — 0.95
Sugar 1kg — 0.69–0.89
⚠️ Pork: boneless pork shoulder not available online during the observation period.
🇪🇪 Estonia
Milk 1L — 0.55–0.59
Bread 300g — 0.43–0.48
Eggs (10) — 1.69
Chicken fillet 1kg — 6.99
Potatoes 1kg — 0.39
Carrots 1kg — 0.45
Sunflower oil 1L — 1.59–1.79
Rice 800g — 0.39
Sugar 1kg — 0.73
Pork (front-cut, boneless) 1kg — 6.99
📌 In Estonia, a boneless front-cut pork (“sea abaliha kondita”) is used as a functional equivalent for index continuity.
🧺 What the data show
A low-price essential basket clearly exists across the Baltics.
From late November through 26 December, baseline prices for core everyday goods remained broadly stable in all three countries. No generalized pre-holiday price surge was observed.
⚠️ Where Latvia stands out
• Rice — persistently higher baseline prices than in Lithuania and Estonia.
• Vegetables — higher base prices than in Estonia, with price sensitivity managed through frequent promotions.
🧠 Interpretation
The pattern points to differences in competitive pressure, rather than harvest conditions or short-term inflation. In more competitive markets, baseline prices are constrained; where competition is weaker, retailers retain more pricing flexibility in selected categories.
📌 Promotional prices are excluded from the baseline.
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Image: photos/photo_135@26-12-2025_20-50-00.jpg