🧺 Baltic Grocery Index — February 2026
Baseline check vs 9 January
Method: non-promotional prices only
Sources: Rimi + Barbora (where available)
🇱🇻 Latvia
Baseline movement detected in eggs only.
Milk (2–2.5%) — €0.75 (Rimi anchor)
Eggs (10) — €2.59 (↑ from €1.99 baseline)
Bread 300 g — €0.39
Chicken fillet — €7.99/kg baseline
Pork shoulder — €5.29/kg baseline
Potatoes — €0.59/kg
Carrots (loose baseline remains; packaged not comparable)
Rice 800 g — €1.19
Sugar — €0.69–0.75
Sunflower oil — €1.69–1.99
Result (LV):
Egg baseline adjusted upward. Other staples stable.
🇱🇹 Lithuania
Baseline movement detected in eggs only.
Milk — €0.62–0.65
Eggs (10) — €2.39 (↑ from €2.15 baseline)
Bread 300 g — €0.34
Chicken fillet — €7.29–7.58/kg
Pork shoulder — €5.49–5.59/kg
Potatoes — €0.49–0.50/kg
Carrots — €0.58/kg
Rice 800 g — €0.93–0.95
Sugar — €0.68–0.89
Sunflower oil — €1.54
Result (LT):
Egg baseline tightened. Core carbohydrate anchors unchanged.
🇪🇪 Estonia
No confirmed baseline movement.
Milk — €0.59
Eggs — €1.79–2.29 (within January corridor)
Bread 300 g — €0.43–0.50
Chicken fillet — baseline unchanged
Pork — baseline unchanged
Potatoes — €0.39
Carrots — €0.42 (loose anchor)
Rice 800 g — €0.39–0.49
Sugar — €0.59–0.73
Sunflower oil — €1.59–1.79
Note: Ongoing retail shift toward barn standard in some channels may affect category comparability over time, but no structural inflation signal detected.
Result (EE):
EDLP model remains stable.
Regional picture — February
✔️ Egg category shows upward baseline adjustment in Latvia and Lithuania.
✔️ Estonia remains within prior price corridor.
✔️ No movement in staple carbohydrates (bread, rice, sugar).
✔️ No structural pork decline.
✔️ No broad food inflation signal.
Structural takeaway
Latvia and Lithuania:
Selective protein adjustment (eggs).
Estonia:
Stable everyday low pricing model.
Market differences remain structural, not seasonal.
Baltic Focus © 2026
Image: photos/photo_213@28-02-2026_12-05-11.jpg