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Editorial

🧺 Baltic Grocery Index β€” February 2026

🧺 Baltic Grocery Index β€” February 2026

Baltic

🧺 Baltic Grocery Index β€” February 2026

Baseline check vs 9 January

Method: non-promotional prices only

Sources: Rimi + Barbora (where available)

πŸ‡±πŸ‡» Latvia

Baseline movement detected in eggs only.

Milk (2–2.5%) β€” €0.75 (Rimi anchor)

Eggs (10) β€” €2.59 (↑ from €1.99 baseline)

Bread 300 g β€” €0.39

Chicken fillet β€” €7.99/kg baseline

Pork shoulder β€” €5.29/kg baseline

Potatoes β€” €0.59/kg

Carrots (loose baseline remains; packaged not comparable)

Rice 800 g β€” €1.19

Sugar β€” €0.69–0.75

Sunflower oil β€” €1.69–1.99

Result (LV):

Egg baseline adjusted upward. Other staples stable.

πŸ‡±πŸ‡Ή Lithuania

Baseline movement detected in eggs only.

Milk β€” €0.62–0.65

Eggs (10) β€” €2.39 (↑ from €2.15 baseline)

Bread 300 g β€” €0.34

Chicken fillet β€” €7.29–7.58/kg

Pork shoulder β€” €5.49–5.59/kg

Potatoes β€” €0.49–0.50/kg

Carrots β€” €0.58/kg

Rice 800 g β€” €0.93–0.95

Sugar β€” €0.68–0.89

Sunflower oil β€” €1.54

Result (LT):

Egg baseline tightened. Core carbohydrate anchors unchanged.

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺ Estonia

No confirmed baseline movement.

Milk β€” €0.59

Eggs β€” €1.79–2.29 (within January corridor)

Bread 300 g β€” €0.43–0.50

Chicken fillet β€” baseline unchanged

Pork β€” baseline unchanged

Potatoes β€” €0.39

Carrots β€” €0.42 (loose anchor)

Rice 800 g β€” €0.39–0.49

Sugar β€” €0.59–0.73

Sunflower oil β€” €1.59–1.79

Note: Ongoing retail shift toward barn standard in some channels may affect category comparability over time, but no structural inflation signal detected.

Result (EE):

EDLP model remains stable.

Regional picture β€” February

βœ”οΈ Egg category shows upward baseline adjustment in Latvia and Lithuania.

βœ”οΈ Estonia remains within prior price corridor.

βœ”οΈ No movement in staple carbohydrates (bread, rice, sugar).

βœ”οΈ No structural pork decline.

βœ”οΈ No broad food inflation signal.

Structural takeaway

Latvia and Lithuania:

Selective protein adjustment (eggs).

Estonia:

Stable everyday low pricing model.

Market differences remain structural, not seasonal.

Baltic Focus Β© 2026

Image: photos/photo_213@28-02-2026_12-05-11.jpg