Comparison vs February 2026. Method: non-promotional prices only. Sources: Rimi + Barbora.
๐ฑ๐ป Latvia
No confirmed baseline price movement.
Milk โ โฌ0.65 in Barbora (FARM MILK 2%), versus โฌ0.95 for the main online Rimi offer; lower-price milk remains available, but is less visible across channels.
Eggs โ โฌ1.99 in Rimi Smart (cage), baseline unchanged.
Bread โ โฌ0.35โ0.39
Chicken fillet โ โฌ7.99/kg
Pork shoulder โ โฌ5.29/kg
Potatoes โ โฌ0.59/kg (packed only)
Carrots โ โฌ0.69/kg (no loose format)
Rice 800 g โ โฌ1.19
Sugar โ โฌ0.69
Sunflower oil โ โฌ1.69
Result (LV):
Baseline prices remain stable. However, online retail continues to shift toward packaged formats and weaker visibility of lower-cost options in selected categories.
๐ฑ๐น Lithuania
Broad-based downward adjustment confirmed across protein categories.
Milk โ โฌ0.59
Eggs (barn) โ โฌ2.25
Bread โ โฌ0.32โ0.34
Chicken fillet โ โฌ6.99/kg
Pork (baseline segment) โ ~โฌ4.49/kg
Potatoes โ โฌ0.39/kg (baseline)
Carrots โ ~โฌ0.58/kg
Rice 800 g โ โฌ0.93
Sugar โ โฌ0.64โ0.67
Sunflower oil โ โฌ1.48โ1.54
Result (LT):
Downward price adjustment observed across protein categories.
Staple carbohydrates remain stable.
๐ช๐ช Estonia
No broad price movement detected.
Milk โ โฌ0.55โ0.59
Eggs โ โฌ1.79โ2.29
Bread โ โฌ0.43โ0.48
Chicken fillet โ โฌ7.79โ9.35/kg
Pork โ higher price levels persist; no stable low-cost baseline observed
Potatoes โ โฌ0.39/kg (loose available)
Carrots โ โฌ0.45/kg (loose available in Rimi)
Rice 800 g โ โฌ0.49 (baseline present in Rimi)
Sugar โ ~โฌ0.59โ0.70
Sunflower oil โ โฌ1.59โ1.79
Note (Rice):
Lower-cost rice remains available in the market, but is not consistently present across retailers.
Higher-priced variants show signs of upward pressure beyond standard category differences.
Result (EE):
Prices remain stable overall.
Selective pressure observed in specific categories (rice, pork), alongside variation in retail assortment.
Regional picture โ March
โ๏ธ Lithuania shows a clear downward adjustment in protein categories
โ๏ธ Latvia remains price-stable, with changes in online assortment structure
โ๏ธ Estonia maintains overall stability with isolated category pressure (rice)
โ๏ธ No broad inflation signal across staple carbohydrates
โ๏ธ Market behaviour differs by country, not by season
Structural takeaway
Lithuania:
Price adjustment through lower protein costs
Latvia:
Stable pricing with controlled retail visibility
Estonia:
Stable baseline with selective upward pressure and mixed assortment signals
Observation
Consistent tracking is critical:
early signals in retail structure and category pricing can be detected before they appear in official statistics or public narratives.
Baltic Focus ยฉ 2026
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