🧺 Baltic Grocery Index — March 2026

Comparison vs February 2026. Method: non-promotional prices only. Sources: Rimi + Barbora

Baltic FocusBaltic Focus analysis

28 March 2026Baltic

Comparison vs February 2026. Method: non-promotional prices only. Sources: Rimi + Barbora.

🇱🇻 Latvia

No confirmed baseline price movement.

Milk — €0.65 in Barbora (FARM MILK 2%), versus €0.95 for the main online Rimi offer; lower-price milk remains available, but is less visible across channels.
Eggs — €1.99 in Rimi Smart (cage), baseline unchanged.
Bread — €0.35–0.39
Chicken fillet — €7.99/kg
Pork shoulder — €5.29/kg
Potatoes — €0.59/kg (packed only)
Carrots — €0.69/kg (no loose format)
Rice 800 g — €1.19
Sugar — €0.69
Sunflower oil — €1.69

Result (LV):
Baseline prices remain stable. However, online retail continues to shift toward packaged formats and weaker visibility of lower-cost options in selected categories.

🇱🇹 Lithuania

Broad-based downward adjustment confirmed across protein categories.

Milk — €0.59
Eggs (barn) — €2.25
Bread — €0.32–0.34
Chicken fillet — €6.99/kg
Pork (baseline segment) — ~€4.49/kg
Potatoes — €0.39/kg (baseline)
Carrots — ~€0.58/kg
Rice 800 g — €0.93
Sugar — €0.64–0.67
Sunflower oil — €1.48–1.54

Result (LT):
Downward price adjustment observed across protein categories.
Staple carbohydrates remain stable.

🇪🇪 Estonia

No broad price movement detected.

Milk — €0.55–0.59
Eggs — €1.79–2.29
Bread — €0.43–0.48
Chicken fillet — €7.79–9.35/kg
Pork — higher price levels persist; no stable low-cost baseline observed
Potatoes — €0.39/kg (loose available)
Carrots — €0.45/kg (loose available in Rimi)
Rice 800 g — €0.49 (baseline present in Rimi)
Sugar — ~€0.59–0.70
Sunflower oil — €1.59–1.79

Note (Rice):
Lower-cost rice remains available in the market, but is not consistently present across retailers.
Higher-priced variants show signs of upward pressure beyond standard category differences.

Result (EE):
Prices remain stable overall.
Selective pressure observed in specific categories (rice, pork), alongside variation in retail assortment.

Regional picture — March

✔️ Lithuania shows a clear downward adjustment in protein categories
✔️ Latvia remains price-stable, with changes in online assortment structure
✔️ Estonia maintains overall stability with isolated category pressure (rice)
✔️ No broad inflation signal across staple carbohydrates
✔️ Market behaviour differs by country, not by season

Structural takeaway

Lithuania:
Price adjustment through lower protein costs

Latvia:
Stable pricing with controlled retail visibility

Estonia:
Stable baseline with selective upward pressure and mixed assortment signals

Observation

Consistent tracking is critical:
early signals in retail structure and category pricing can be detected before they appear in official statistics or public narratives.